Future

Europe has neither a competitive advantage nor a competitive disadvantage

Overall 34 Research Topics were identified by industry experts to evaluate the future status of the European competitiveness concerning demand requirements and technological aspects. Furthermore a comprehensive expert survey was carried out to assess future global competition arenas between European and other global rivals. Whereas the technological perspective and the expert survey are mainly scored on a 5-point scale, the demand-side view is of qualitative nature. Based on the quantitative scoring of the identified 16 Research Topics with a technological focus, the European Transport Manufacturing Industry has has neither a competitive advantage nor a competitive disadvantage with its main rivals.

Analysis

Based on the current and emerging trends, knowledge of risk sources and future global transformations, the future analysis anticipates developments that might affect global competitive positions of European manufacturing industry until 2030/2050 in markets of interest. Considering cross-sectoral aspects, the impact of these trends on the set-up and dynamics of the value chain and demand side will be assessed including a synthesizing economic analysis reviewing global trends and risks. The analysis covers both passenger as well as freight transportation while in some cases there is no clear separation any more. Along its structure, the goals of this analysis are to:

  • Identify the relevant trends and future perspectives that will effect supply and demand of transport manufacturing industry and analyze their impact on setup and dynamics of value chains and innovation capacities and derive upcoming challenges and opportunities.
  • Forecast likely market developments of present and upcoming markets, changing customer requirements and mobility demands including aspects like demographic trends, GHD reduction targets etc. affecting business models of the addressed industries.
  • Examine trends and risks in global business and investment climate, current & upcoming global competitors, economic policies and funding strategies including possible new competitors with disruptive business models.

Explanation Of Scoring

All Focus Areas within the aspects Technology are scored on a 5-point scale, reaching from strong competitive disadvantage (0) to strong competitive advantage (4). The individual scores are derived from selected Key Performance Indicators identified for each of the transport modes.

Europe has a strong competitive disadvantage in comparison
Europe has a competitive disadvantage in comparison
Europe has neither a competitive advantage nor a competitive disadvantage
Europe has a competitive advantage in comparison
Europe has a strong competitive advantage in comparison